Algeria vs Austria Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Our model gives Algeria a 42% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 1–1.
Win Probability
- Algeria win: 42%
- Draw: 26%
- Austria win: 33%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 1–1
- Expected goals (model λ): 1.46 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals: 51%
- Both teams to score: 55%
Model Ratings
Algeria Elo 1800 · Austria Elo 1820
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
A close call: Algeria at 42%, Austria at 33% and the draw at 26%. The sides are closely rated (1800 vs 1820), and the model expects a tight 1–1 in what may be a straight shootout for qualification.
Both teams to score at 55%. With Argentina expected to top the group, this final-round meeting could decide who claims the runners-up spot — expect a tense, finely balanced encounter.
FAQ
Who will win Algeria vs Austria?
Algeria are favoured with a 42% win probability. Algeria 42% / Draw 26% / Austria 33%.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Austria?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 1–1.
Will Algeria vs Austria have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Algeria vs Austria?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 55%.