Argentina vs Austria Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · AT&T Stadium
Our model gives Argentina a 85% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 3–0.
Win Probability
- Argentina win: 85%
- Draw: 10%
- Austria win: 5%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 3–0
- Expected goals (model λ): 3.00 – 0.61
- Over 2.5 goals: 70%
- Both teams to score: 43%
Model Ratings
Argentina Elo 2090 · Austria Elo 1820
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Argentina are overwhelming favourites at 85% against Austria (5%), with the draw at 10% and a 3–0 projected. The holders' rating (2090 vs 1820) makes them clear favourites for top spot.
Austria are a well-drilled side but face the tournament's strongest team. Over 2.5 at 70%. Argentina will look to seal qualification here, while Austria aim to keep it tight and protect their own knockout hopes.
FAQ
Who will win Argentina vs Austria?
Argentina are favoured with a 85% win probability. Argentina 85% / Draw 10% / Austria 5%.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Austria?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 3–0.
Will Argentina vs Austria have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Argentina vs Austria?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 43%.