Brazil vs Haiti Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Lincoln Financial Field
Our model gives Brazil a 95% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 4–0.
Win Probability
- Brazil win: 95%
- Draw: 4%
- Haiti win: 1%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 4–0
- Expected goals (model λ): 4.16 – 0.44
- Over 2.5 goals: 83%
- Both teams to score: 35%
Model Ratings
Brazil Elo 2020 · Haiti Elo 1620
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
As one-sided as the World Cup gets: Brazil at 95% to beat Haiti (1%), with an emphatic 4–0 the most likely scoreline. The rating chasm (2020 vs 1620) is the largest in the group.
The only real question is the margin. Over 2.5 goals is rated at 83%, and Brazil will likely rotate and rest legs once the game is safe. For Haiti, damage limitation against one of the title favourites is the realistic aim.
FAQ
Who will win Brazil vs Haiti?
Brazil are favoured with a 95% win probability. Brazil 95% / Draw 4% / Haiti 1%.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Haiti?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 4–0.
Will Brazil vs Haiti have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brazil vs Haiti?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 35%.