FootyTips 
Brazil vs Norway 
Prediction
· Round of 16 · New York/New Jersey Stadium
Match Status
Kickoff 20:00 UTC · Not started
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Brazil to win at 55%. Overall probabilities: Brazil 55%, draw 25%, Norway 20%; model score 1-0.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 55%
model top outcome · 55%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No market odds connected yet. FootyTips shows model probabilities for this match, but no value signal is shown until a licensed odds snapshot is imported.
Citable facts: Brazil 55% / Draw 25% / Norway 20%; expected goals 1.64-0.88; BTTS 48%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Win Probability
- Brazil win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- Norway win: 20%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 1-0
- Expected goals (model lambda): 1.64 - 0.88
- Over 2.5: 46%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Brazil Elo 2115 · Norway Elo 1984
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-07-01. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Our model makes Brazil clear favourites at 55% in this World Cup 2026 fixture at New York/New Jersey Stadium — Brazil 55%, the draw 25%, Norway 20%. A clear Elo edge to Brazil (2115 vs 1984), and the model score forecast is 1–0.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Brazil vs Norway?
Brazil are favoured at 55%. Brazil 55% / Draw 25% / Norway 20%.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Norway?
Our model score forecast is 1-0, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will Brazil vs Norway have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Brazil vs Norway?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.