DR Congo vs Uzbekistan Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Our model gives DR Congo a 53% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 1–1.
Win Probability
- DR Congo win: 53%
- Draw: 24%
- Uzbekistan win: 23%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 1–1
- Expected goals (model λ): 1.73 – 1.05
- Over 2.5 goals: 53%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
DR Congo Elo 1760 · Uzbekistan Elo 1710
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
DR Congo are slight favourites at 53% against Uzbekistan (23%), with the draw at 24%. The sides are fairly close (1760 vs 1710), and the model expects a tight 1–1.
For both, this final-round game may represent the best chance of points in a group with Portugal and Colombia. Both teams to score at 54%. A single goal could be the difference in an evenly matched encounter.
FAQ
Who will win DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?
DR Congo are favoured with a 53% win probability. DR Congo 53% / Draw 24% / Uzbekistan 23%.
What is the predicted score for DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 1–1.
Will DR Congo vs Uzbekistan have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.