England vs Ghana Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · Gillette Stadium
Our model gives England a 85% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 3–0.
Win Probability
- England win: 85%
- Draw: 10%
- Ghana win: 5%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 3–0
- Expected goals (model λ): 3.00 – 0.61
- Over 2.5 goals: 70%
- Both teams to score: 43%
Model Ratings
England Elo 2010 · Ghana Elo 1740
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
England are strong favourites at 85% against Ghana (5%), with the draw at 10% and a 3–0 projected. England's rating (2010 vs 1740) makes them clear favourites.
Ghana carry an attacking threat but face a significant gap in quality. Over 2.5 at 70%. A comfortable England win would move them close to topping the group and into the knockout rounds.
FAQ
Who will win England vs Ghana?
England are favoured with a 85% win probability. England 85% / Draw 10% / Ghana 5%.
What is the predicted score for England vs Ghana?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 3–0.
Will England vs Ghana have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in England vs Ghana?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 43%.