Germany vs Ivory Coast Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · BMO Field
Our model gives Germany a 71% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 2–0.
Win Probability
- Germany win: 71%
- Draw: 18%
- Ivory Coast win: 12%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 2–0
- Expected goals (model λ): 2.28 – 0.80
- Over 2.5 goals: 59%
- Both teams to score: 49%
Model Ratings
Germany Elo 1950 · Ivory Coast Elo 1790
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Germany are strong favourites at 71% against Ivory Coast (12%), with the draw at 18% and a 2–0 projected. Germany's rating (1950 vs 1790) and tournament know-how should prove decisive.
Ivory Coast carry a genuine attacking threat and will hope to spring a surprise, but the model favours German control: 59% for over 2.5 goals. A positive result here would put Germany on the brink of the knockout rounds.
FAQ
Who will win Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Germany are favoured with a 71% win probability. Germany 71% / Draw 18% / Ivory Coast 12%.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 2–0.
Will Germany vs Ivory Coast have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 49%.