Ivory Coast vs Norway
Prediction
· Round of 32 · Dallas Stadium
Match Status
Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Norway to win at 54%. Overall probabilities: Ivory Coast 20%, draw 26%, Norway 54%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: Medium · top outcome 54%
model top outcome · 54%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No market odds connected yet. FootyTips shows model probabilities for this match, but no value signal is shown until a licensed odds snapshot is imported.
Crypto Sportsbook Odds
Full comparison below; tap any book to verify the live price. We show a periodic snapshot, and odds move.
| Sportsbook | Ivory Coast | Draw | Norway |
|---|---|---|---|
| stake ↗ | 3.55 | 3.4 | 2.07 |
| ★ Best | 3.55 stake | 3.4 stake | 2.07 stake |
Best price = highest decimal odds across the compared books (via OddsPapi). Bold = best in column. Tap a sportsbook to verify the live price on their site.
Citable facts: Ivory Coast 20% / Draw 26% / Norway 54%; expected goals 0.89-1.62; BTTS 48%; blended best estimate 24.3%/27.1%/48.6%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway. Model pick: Norway. Actual result: Norway.
Brier contribution: 0.3153 · settled 2026-06-30
Win Probability
- Ivory Coast win: 20%
- Draw: 26%
- Norway win: 54%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.89 - 1.62
- Over 2.5: 46%
- Both teams to score: 48%
Model Ratings
Ivory Coast Elo 1858 · Norway Elo 1984
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-30. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Norway clear favourites at 54% in this World Cup 2026 fixture at Dallas Stadium — Ivory Coast 20%, the draw 26%, Norway 54%. A clear Elo edge to Norway (1984 vs 1858), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 48%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Norway are favoured at 54%. Ivory Coast 20% / Draw 26% / Norway 54%.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
What do betting markets say about Ivory Coast vs Norway?
De-vigged 1X2 odds from bookmaker odds imply 27.5% Ivory Coast win, 27.8% draw, 44.7% Norway win. Blending our model with the market gives a best estimate of 24.3% / 27.1% / 48.6%. Market-probability snapshot: null.
Will Ivory Coast vs Norway have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ivory Coast vs Norway?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 48%.