Morocco vs Haiti Prediction
· Group Stage - 3 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Our model gives Morocco a 85% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 3–0.
Win Probability
- Morocco win: 85%
- Draw: 10%
- Haiti win: 5%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 3–0
- Expected goals (model λ): 3.00 – 0.61
- Over 2.5 goals: 70%
- Both teams to score: 43%
Model Ratings
Morocco Elo 1890 · Haiti Elo 1620
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Morocco are overwhelming favourites at 85% to beat Haiti (5%), with the draw at 10% and a 3–0 the projected scoreline. Morocco's rating (1890) and defensive miserliness make this a strong platform for qualification.
Expect Morocco to control from the front: 70% for over 2.5 goals. With Brazil likely to top the group, this is the kind of fixture Morocco must win comfortably to secure their knockout place and a healthy goal difference.
FAQ
Who will win Morocco vs Haiti?
Morocco are favoured with a 85% win probability. Morocco 85% / Draw 10% / Haiti 5%.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 3–0.
Will Morocco vs Haiti have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Morocco vs Haiti?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 43%.