New Zealand vs Egypt Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · BC Place
Our model gives Egypt a 52% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 1–1.
Win Probability
- New Zealand win: 24%
- Draw: 24%
- Egypt win: 52%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 1–1
- Expected goals (model λ): 1.08 – 1.69
- Over 2.5 goals: 52%
- Both teams to score: 54%
Model Ratings
New Zealand Elo 1660 · Egypt Elo 1800
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Egypt are favoured at 52% against New Zealand (24%), with the draw also at 24%. Egypt's rating (1800 vs 1660) gives them the edge, though in a low-scoring game the single likeliest scoreline is a 1–1.
This shapes as a key game for second place. Both teams to score at 54%. New Zealand will back their organisation and set-piece threat; Egypt must turn superiority into goals to take control.
FAQ
Who will win New Zealand vs Egypt?
Egypt are favoured with a 52% win probability. New Zealand 24% / Draw 24% / Egypt 52%.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Egypt?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 1–1.
Will New Zealand vs Egypt have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in New Zealand vs Egypt?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 54%.