Panama vs Croatia Prediction
· Group Stage - 2 · BMO Field
Our model gives Croatia a 60% chance to win this World Cup 2026 match-up, with a most likely score of 0–1.
Win Probability
- Panama win: 18%
- Draw: 22%
- Croatia win: 60%
Goals & Scoreline
- Most likely score: 0–1
- Expected goals (model λ): 0.95 – 1.92
- Over 2.5 goals: 55%
- Both teams to score: 52%
Model Ratings
Panama Elo 1710 · Croatia Elo 1900
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-03. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
Croatia are favoured at 60% against Panama (18%), with the draw at 22% and a 0–1 away win most likely. Croatia's rating (1900 vs 1710) and tournament experience give them the edge.
Panama will be well-organised and physical. Over 2.5 at 55%. Croatia's midfield control should eventually tell, though breaking down a disciplined Panama may require patience.
FAQ
Who will win Panama vs Croatia?
Croatia are favoured with a 60% win probability. Panama 18% / Draw 22% / Croatia 60%.
What is the predicted score for Panama vs Croatia?
Our model's most likely scoreline is 0–1.
Will Panama vs Croatia have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panama vs Croatia?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 52%.