FootyTips 
South Africa vs Canada 
Prediction
· Round of 32 · Los Angeles Stadium
Match Status
South Africa 0-1 Canada · FT · Hit
Source: FIFA calendar/matches · Updated: —
The model favours Canada to win at 58%. Overall probabilities: South Africa 17%, draw 25%, Canada 58%; model score 0-1.
Model confidence: High · top outcome 58%
model top outcome · 58%
model score forecast
over 2.5 goals probability
model update date
Betting View
No market odds connected yet. FootyTips shows model probabilities for this match, but no value signal is shown until a licensed odds snapshot is imported.
Citable facts: South Africa 17% / Draw 25% / Canada 58%; expected goals 0.83-1.73; BTTS 47%. Data sources: FootyTips Elo + Poisson model, TheSportsDB fixtures, martj42 historical results. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Post-Match Result
Hit: Final score South Africa 0-1 Canada. Model pick: Canada. Actual result: Canada.
Brier contribution: 0.2648 · settled 2026-07-01
Win Probability
- South Africa win: 17%
- Draw: 25%
- Canada win: 58%
Goals & Scoreline
- Model score: 0-1
- Expected goals (model lambda): 0.83 - 1.73
- Over 2.5: 47%
- Both teams to score: 47%
Model Ratings
South Africa Elo 1684 · Canada Elo 1871
Prediction by FootyTips.io's Elo + Poisson model · updated 2026-06-28. Probabilities, not guarantees.
Analysis
The model installs Canada clear favourites at 58% in this World Cup 2026 fixture at Los Angeles Stadium — South Africa 17%, the draw 25%, Canada 58%. A clear Elo edge to Canada (1871 vs 1684), and the model score forecast is 0–1.
Expect a finely poised game: the model rates over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 47%. These are probabilities from our transparent Elo + Poisson model, not certainties — upsets are part of the World Cup.
FAQ
Who will win South Africa vs Canada?
Canada are favoured at 58%. South Africa 17% / Draw 25% / Canada 58%.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Canada?
Our model score forecast is 0-1, aligned with the top win/draw/loss pick.
Will South Africa vs Canada have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in South Africa vs Canada?
Both teams to score (BTTS) is rated at 47%.